Sports wagering can be extremely profitable if you know the tricks this “smart money” bettors make use of to consistently make money. Most significant secrets that sensible money gamblers use is usually knowing when NOT to bet.

Here’s a best case in point. We analyzed typically the Western world California vs. Louisville game, and concluded that West Las vegas had typically the edge in the activity. Yet , I also noticed that there have been a whole lot of random and unknown factors, and recommended to my clients that they do not gamble on this kind of game. Here is my own analysis I released just before the game:

West Las vegas or Louisville

This activity features all the signs of being one involving the ideal games connected with the year, with both equally teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, along with Western world Virginia coming back from appearing down massive in the independence day one fourth to winning within overtime.

So what’s the adventure look like this year?

When this game were appearing played at the neutral field, West Florida will probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since this game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented move. Many people haven’t lost considering April. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they shed to California Tech. On livescore350.com/news221 -5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last on the lookout for activities overall, and 8-2 ATS in their very last 10 STREET games.

These kind of are some very extraordinary stats that tilt the scales in favor connected with WVU for tonight’s games. Plus, typically the extra added bonus is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This could not seem to be like much, but in a close up match-up like this, that excess point will certainly make the change between a new push and even a loss.

But what regarding Louisville?

Louisville’s numbers may be almost as good because WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In his or her previous 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS inside their very last 10 home game titles.

And if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t lost in the home since 12 18, 2003! During this latest run Louisville is averaging 49. four points each game in your house, while averaging only stopping 15. seven points each game with home. In case you failed to do the mathmatical, that means considering their last home damage they are yet to averaged beating their own adversaries simply by about 34 details per game.

What’s more extraordinary, the average line in these games has only also been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten the particular get spread around, on average, by simply 13 items per activity at home considering the year 2003.

Wow… how can an individual go against that?

Here’s exactly how…

Almost all of those stats had been developed during the june 2006 season. In 2010, 2006, Louisville has been closer to good than great. They are yet to experienced recent games where they are yet to only scored 28, twenty three, 24 points. And the video games weren’t against Oh Saint. or Michigan. They had been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.

Basically of which this is still the close sport to phone. Yet the things i look to get is West Virginia’s defense to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s not any reason to think WVU can’t have one to the particular low to mid 20’s. My honest recommendation will be to lay off this game and not wager at all. There happen to be better video games this end of the week with more clear-cut benefits.

The final score on this game was Louisville 46, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to give back a punt for a TD. The results was that West Virginia’s border has not been so big which they could very well still win immediately after generating so many mistakes. By means of not betting on this specific game, people critical regarding wagering saved money these people can offer better make use of on forthcoming games.