Sports gambling is often very profitable if anyone know the techniques the particular “smart money” bettors use to consistently make dollars. One of the primary secrets that smart money bettors use will be knowing when NOT for you to bet.

Here’s a perfect instance. My spouse and i analyzed the particular West Las vegas vs. Louisville match, and concluded that will West Va had the particular edge in the match. Yet , My spouse and i also noticed that there was a great deal of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to my clients that they carry out not bet on this game. Here is my analysis I released just before the game:

West Florida versus Louisville

This activity offers all the indications of being one connected with the most effective games of the year, having the two teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, both together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, along with Western Virginia coming backside from being down large in the independence day 1 / 4 to winning around overtime, however,.

So what’s the sport appearance like this year?

When this match were as played from the neutral field, West Va will probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since this game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented throw. They will haven’t lost given that Jan. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they shed to California Tech. Through the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last nine activities overall, and 8-2 ATS in their very last 10 HIGHWAY games.

These kinds of are some very amazing stats that tilt the particular scales in favor involving WVU with regard to tonight’s games. Plus, typically the added in reward is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This could not look like substantially, but in a near match-up this way, that extra point will certainly make the change between a good push together with a loss.

But some of us wonder what concerning Louisville?

Louisville’s gambling are usually almost as good because WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their very own past 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS within their final 10 home video games.

And even if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced in the home since Dec 18, 2003! During this present run Louisville is hitting 49. four points for each game at your home, while hitting only leaving behind 15. seven points for every game from home. In case a person did not do the mathematics, that means considering their particular last home decline they have already averaged beating their competitors by about 34 factors per game.

What’s more remarkable, the average line in these games has only already been 21 points. บาคาร่า has beaten the spread, on average, by simply 13 items per activity at home due to the fact 2003.

Wow… how can a person go against that?

Here’s exactly how…

The majority of those stats ended up accumulated during the 2005 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been closer to excellent than great. They are yet to experienced recent games where they are yet to only scored 36, 3, 24 points. And the video games weren’t against Iowa Street. or Michigan. They will were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

In essence of which this is still a good close match to get in touch with. Yet what I look regarding is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s simply no reason to think WVU can’t have one to often the low to middle 20’s. My honest endorsement is usually to lay off that game and definitely not bet at all. There will be better activities this saturday and sunday with more simple strengths.

The final score on this game was Louisville 44, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to come back some sort of punt for a new TD. The results was of which West Virginia’s advantage has not been so big they will may possibly still win immediately after doing so many mistakes. By simply not betting on that game, people really serious about gambling saved money they will can put to better use on coming games.